Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.25: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.94; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Amentum is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider with two segments (Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions), serving U.S. and allied government agencies in energy, intelligence, space, defense, and civilian markets. The U.S. federal... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.25: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.94; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
About Amentum Holdings, Inc.
About Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Amentum Holdings reported $47.1 billion in backlog as of October 3, 2025, with 81% of fiscal year 2025 revenues derived from direct U.S. federal government contracts spanning the Department of Energy, Intelligence Community, NASA, and the Department of War. The company formed in September 2024 through a merger of legacy Amentum and Jacobs Solutions' Critical Mission Solutions business, employing approximately 50,000 people across more than 70 countries, with 25% of staff positioned internationally.
Amentum earns revenue under three contract types: cost-plus-fee (63% of fiscal year 2025 revenues), fixed-price (24%), and time-and-materials (13%). The cost-plus-fee structure limits inflation exposure for most contracts, though fixed-price contracts carry overrun risk. The Digital Solutions segment delivers intelligence analytics, cybersecurity, C5ISR engineering, and digital modernization, while the Global Engineering Solutions segment covers environmental remediation, nuclear services, space operations, and research, development, test and evaluation. International positions include long-standing contracts with the UK Ministry of Defence, the UK Nuclear Decommissioning Authority, and the Australian Department of Defence, with the AUKUS trilateral security partnership named in the 10-K as a growth area. Primary competitors include Booz Allen Hamilton, Leidos Holdings, CACI International, Parsons Corporation, and KBR.
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Amentum's revenues depend on U.S. federal government appropriations, and congressional failure to enact a budget or raise the debt ceiling could delay new awards, reduce backlog, and compress cash flows — a risk explicitly detailed in the 10-K. The company's contracts are substantially all subject to cancellation at government convenience, and the Defense Contract Audit Agency holds authority to conduct cost reviews that could result in retroactive revenue adjustments and payment disallowances. Suspension or debarment from contracting with key agencies including the Department of War, Intelligence Community, NASA, or DOE would be material to financial results.
See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services
From Amentum Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Amentum Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $31 — benzinga May 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS BNP Paribas Initiates Coverage On Amentum Holdings with Underperform Rating, Announces Price Target of $22 — benzinga May 26, 2026 negative
- NEWS Wall Street Now Has An Alien ETF—And Traders Have Bet $42 Million On It On Polymarket — benzinga May 22, 2026 positive
- NEWS BTIG Reiterates Buy on Amentum Holdings, Maintains $35 Price Target — benzinga May 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS RBC Capital Maintains Sector Perform on Amentum Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $28 — benzinga May 13, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. federal government81%10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. federal government represented 81% of our revenues for the year ended October 3, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.25: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.94; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $21.21. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.14 (+29.5% upside). Prior stop was $21.21. Stop-loss: $21.21.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. federal government (81.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Amentum Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover AMTM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $34.
What does Amentum Holdings, Inc. do?Amentum is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider with two segments (Digital Solutions and...
Amentum is a global advanced engineering and technology solutions provider with two segments (Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions), serving U.S. and allied government agencies in energy, intelligence, space, defense, and civilian markets. The U.S. federal government represented 81% of fiscal 2025 revenues, supported by $47.1 billion of backlog and ~50,000 employees in 70+ countries.