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AMTAmerican Tower Corporation (REISell5.1·$183.75
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

An exceptionally high-quality real estate franchise with free cash flow well in excess of reported net income and three consecutive earnings beats trades at roughly 15 times cash flow, but a risk/reward ratio of 0.89 and debt-to-equity of 4.4 suggest the setup favors waiting for a better entry rather than initiating at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash Generative Franchise→Stable
  • Recent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Unfavorable Near Term Entry Geometry→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

American Tower Corporation (REI (AMT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $183.75, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term... Read more

$183.75+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#13 of 17 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.51%
IncomeYield3.89%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout99.58%
Stop $170.89Analyst target $194.05(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$215.61+17.3%23 analysts
$194.05Analyst target
$183.75price
$215.61mean
$260

Sell if holding. At $183.75, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 116d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 23, 2027116d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.9
P/E (Fwd)26.3
Mkt Cap$85.6B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn30.1%
ROE33.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta—
Dividend3.89%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.26bearish
IV33%normal
Max Pain$125-32.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.7
Value Rank
3.8
Quality Rank
6.6
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 116d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $160.30Resistance $202.50

Price Targets

$171
$194
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-23 (116d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $183.75, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $170.89. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the AMT stock price target?

Analyst target: $194.05 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $170.89. Stop-loss: $170.89.

What are the risks of investing in AMT?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.6): -1.5.

Is AMT overvalued or undervalued?

American Tower Corporation (REI trades at a P/E of 25.9 (forward 26.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMT?

29 analysts cover AMT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $216.

What does American Tower Corporation (REI do?American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin...

American Tower Corporation owns and operates 149,686 communications sites globally across the U.S. & Canada, Latin America, Europe, and Africa & APAC, plus 30 data center facilities across 11 U.S. markets, with property operations generating 97% of total revenues via long-term tenant leases. Revenue is concentrated in four customers — T-Mobile (18%), AT&T (17%), Verizon Wireless (14%), and Telefónica (10%) — who together represent 59% of total revenues.

Related stocks: GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · EQIX (Equinix, Inc.) · DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del) · WY (Weyerhaeuser Company)
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