Value
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.4 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.6x
- ▸PEG: 0.50
ALNY · Why this verdict
Why Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroCAUTIOUS
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 6.7 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 9.2 |
| Net margin | 6.3 |
| Current ratio | 9.9 |
| FCF quality | 3.0 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 90%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 38% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 96% YoY
Momentum
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 3.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 52%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $2,266,332 (0.006% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.9 |
| quality rank | 8.1 |
| growth rank | 8.3 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.9 |
| support resistance | 5.9 |
| 52w position | 1.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.3 |
| days to cover | 5.8 |
| volatility | 4.7 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 4.5 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 2.2 |
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.50, quality 8.1/10, growth 10.0/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:5.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:56d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
5.93
Upside
+37.1%
Downside
6.3%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (8.1) with weak momentum (4.0)
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.1 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 5.93 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 8.1, and Sentiment at 7.5; the weakest are Momentum at 4.0, Technical at 4.5, and Peer rank at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.93 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.