Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $216.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. provides insurance brokerage, reinsurance brokerage (via Gallagher Re), and third-party claims administration globally, with brokerage at 87% of 2025 revenues. Fees and commissions are earned by placing coverage for commercial and nonprofit clients... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $216.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(6), earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Latest news
- NEWS Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp Sells 16,797 Shares of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. $AJG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Sit Global Dividend Growth Fund's Arthur J. Gallagher & Co(AJG) Holding History - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch — MarketWatch negative
- NEWS Did Strong Q1 Results and AI Blueprint Launch Just Shift Arthur J. Gallagher's (AJG) Investment Narrative? - Sahm — Sahm positive
- NEWS Exencial Wealth Advisors LLC Buys 14,469 Shares of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. $AJG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWDirector Sherry Barrat informed AJG on March 6, 2026 of her decision to retire from the Board, effective May 12, 2026 at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Board size to reduce from ten to nine. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $216.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $237.69 (+9.8%), stop $204.56 (−5.8%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $237.69 (+9.7% upside). Target $237.69 (+9.8%), stop $204.56 (−5.8%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $204.56.
Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. trades at a P/E of 35.3 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
29 analysts cover AJG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $264.
What does Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. do?Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. provides insurance brokerage, reinsurance brokerage (via Gallagher Re), and third-party...
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. provides insurance brokerage, reinsurance brokerage (via Gallagher Re), and third-party claims administration globally, with brokerage at 87% of 2025 revenues. Fees and commissions are earned by placing coverage for commercial and nonprofit clients without assuming underwriting risk. The third-largest insurance broker by revenue globally, with ~72,000 employees and a $67 billion market cap at year-end 2025.