Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $212.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is the world's third largest insurance broker, providing brokerage, reinsurance, consulting, and third-party claims administration globally through 650+ U.S. and 400 international offices in 60 countries. Revenue is primarily commissions and fees from... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $212.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWSherry Barrat informed Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. on March 6, 2026 of her decision to retire from the Board of Directors effective May 12, 2026, upon director elections at the 2026 Annual Meeting. Board will reduce from 10 to 9 members. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $212.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $200.74. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $244.28 (+15.4% upside). Prior stop was $200.74. Stop-loss: $200.74.
Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover AJG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $271.
What does Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. do?Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is the world's third largest insurance broker, providing brokerage, reinsurance, consulting,...
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is the world's third largest insurance broker, providing brokerage, reinsurance, consulting, and third-party claims administration globally through 650+ U.S. and 400 international offices in 60 countries. Revenue is primarily commissions and fees from its brokerage segment (87%) and risk management segment (13%), with approximately 67% from U.S. operations.