AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit (AGNCM) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AGNCM stock price target?

Take-profit $24.53 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.52.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $24.99: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.4% away).

AGNCM is a depositary share representing AGNC Investment Corp. preferred stock. AGNC is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing primarily in Agency RMBS on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by GSEs or U.S. government, targeting 6-10x leverage.

$24.99-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#13 of 17 REIT - Mortgage

Stop $24.52Target $24.53(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $24.99: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS

Near 52-week high (1.4% away)

Overbought (RSI 85)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap—

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn91.7%

ROE13.2%

Rev Growth—

Beta1.36

Dividend8.76%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductAgency RMBS
10-K Item 1A: 'As a levered investor primarily in fixed-rate Agency RMBS, spread risk is an inherent component of our business.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.015%0.75

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum5.110%0.51

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity4.310%0.43

Peer Rank5.710%0.57

Technical Setup4.15%0.20

Risk Profile6.45%0.32

Catalyst7.05%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.15

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

85 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.63Resistance $25.03

Price Targets

$25

A.Upside-1.8%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20

Consensus3.6/5

Avg Target—

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AGNCM.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AGNCM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $24.99: Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.52. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGNCM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.53 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.52. Stop-loss: $24.52.

What are the risks of investing in AGNCM?

Concentration risk — Product: Agency RMBS; Near 52-week high (1.4% away); Overbought (RSI 85).

Is AGNCM overvalued or undervalued?

AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGNCM?

20 analysts cover AGNCM with a consensus score of 3.6/5.

What does AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit do?AGNCM is a depositary share representing AGNC Investment Corp. preferred stock. AGNC is an internally managed mortgage...