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ACNBACNB CorporationHold6.2·$58.76-0.82%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACNB carries a perfect earnings beat streak into a near-term catalyst and strong growth metrics, but shares already sit near their target with a negative risk/reward setup and analyst estimates trending down, arguing for holding rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak Into CatalystStable
  • Negative Asymmetry Near TargetStable
  • Strong Growth And Margin ProfileStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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ACNB Corporation (ACNB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ACNB Corporation is the Gettysburg, Pennsylvania-based financial holding company for ACNB Bank, a $3.21 billion-asset community bank with 33 banking offices across South-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland, and ACNB Insurance Services, a property-casualty and life/health... Read more

$58.76+3.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#77 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.79%(5y avg 3.12%)Payout29.09%sustainable
Stop $55.71Target $60.50(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst target$59.67+1.5%3 analysts
$60.50our TP
$58.76price
$59.67mean
$57
$65

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ACNB Corporation

About ACNB Corporation

ACNB Corporation's banking subsidiary, ACNB Bank, held $3.21 billion in total assets, $2.33 billion in net loans and $2.48 billion in deposits as of December 31, 2025, operating 33 community banking offices across six Pennsylvania counties and three Maryland counties following its February 2025 acquisition of Traditions Bancorp. Regulated by the Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities and the FDIC, the bank's loan portfolio was approximately 68% commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and construction loans.

ACNB earns the bulk of its revenue from net interest income on commercial mortgages, real estate construction, agricultural and consumer loans, complemented by fee income from ACNB Wealth Management, which oversees $444.8 million in trust assets under management and administration plus $238.3 million placed with an unaffiliated third-party broker-dealer for retail brokerage. Its nonbank subsidiary, ACNB Insurance Services, operates as a separately reported segment selling property, casualty, health, life and disability coverage to commercial and individual clients across 46 states from offices in Westminster, Maryland and Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, holding $19.7 million in total assets as of December 31, 2025. As a holding company with no operations of its own, ACNB depends on dividends upstreamed from ACNB Bank, which are limited by banking-regulator rules tied to net profits and retained earnings.

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ACNB's credit risk is concentrated in commercial lending rather than diversified retail exposure: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and construction loans made up roughly 68% of the loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and the 10-K specifically flags that the commercial office sector is undergoing a structural shift in demand tied to evolving workplace patterns. Because these loan types carry larger average balances than residential or consumer loans, the deterioration of even one or a few relationships could drive a disproportionate increase in non-performing loans and provision expense, a risk concentrated by loan-type choice rather than by geographic footprint, which spans nine Pennsylvania and Maryland counties whose largest employers are diversified across agriculture, tourism, education, healthcare and government.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From ACNB Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$618M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.1%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth42.7%
Beta0.87
Dividend2.79%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV110%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 68% of ACNB's loan portfolio consisted of commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial and construction'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland
    10-K Item 1A: 'ACNB provides banking and financial services to customers primarily in the South-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland region of the country'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.63Resistance $61.73

Price Targets

$56
$61
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACNB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $60.50 (+3.0%), stop $55.71 (−5.5%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACNB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.50 (+3.0% upside). Target $60.50 (+3.0%), stop $55.71 (−5.5%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Stop-loss: $55.71.

What are the risks of investing in ACNB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Is ACNB overvalued or undervalued?

ACNB Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACNB?

10 analysts cover ACNB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $60.

What does ACNB Corporation do?ACNB Corporation is the Gettysburg, Pennsylvania-based financial holding company for ACNB Bank, a $3.21 billion-asset...

ACNB Corporation is the Gettysburg, Pennsylvania-based financial holding company for ACNB Bank, a $3.21 billion-asset community bank with 33 banking offices across South-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland, and ACNB Insurance Services, a property-casualty and life/health insurance agency licensed in 46 states. The bank's loan book is concentrated in commercial lending, with commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and construction loans making up approximately 68% of total loans as of December 31, 2025.

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