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ACNBACNB CorporationHold5.4·$65.12
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ACNB is a regional bank with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, strong 34% margins and bullish momentum, but the price of $65.42 is already 12.1% above the $57.52 analyst target and near its 52-week high, so further upside is limited.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Despite Loan Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ACNB Corporation (ACNB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ACNB Corporation is the Gettysburg, Pennsylvania-based financial holding company for ACNB Bank, a $3.21 billion-asset community bank with 33 banking offices across South-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland, and ACNB Insurance Services, a property-casualty and life/health... Read more

$65.12-10.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#175 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.82%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout28.84%sustainable
Stop $62.46Analyst target $58.37(reached)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst consensus$68.67+5.4%3 analysts
$65.12price
$68.67mean
$72

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ACNB Corporation

About ACNB Corporation

ACNB Corporation's banking subsidiary, ACNB Bank, held $3.21 billion in total assets, $2.33 billion in net loans and $2.48 billion in deposits as of December 31, 2025, operating 33 community banking offices across six Pennsylvania counties and three Maryland counties following its February 2025 acquisition of Traditions Bancorp. Regulated by the Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities and the FDIC, the bank's loan portfolio was approximately 68% commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and construction loans.

ACNB earns the bulk of its revenue from net interest income on commercial mortgages, real estate construction, agricultural and consumer loans, complemented by fee income from ACNB Wealth Management, which oversees $444.8 million in trust assets under management and administration plus $238.3 million placed with an unaffiliated third-party broker-dealer for retail brokerage. Its nonbank subsidiary, ACNB Insurance Services, operates as a separately reported segment selling property, casualty, health, life and disability coverage to commercial and individual clients across 46 states from offices in Westminster, Maryland and Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, holding $19.7 million in total assets as of December 31, 2025. As a holding company with no operations of its own, ACNB depends on dividends upstreamed from ACNB Bank, which are limited by banking-regulator rules tied to net profits and retained earnings.

Show full overview

ACNB's credit risk is concentrated in commercial lending rather than diversified retail exposure: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and construction loans made up roughly 68% of the loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and the 10-K specifically flags that the commercial office sector is undergoing a structural shift in demand tied to evolving workplace patterns. Because these loan types carry larger average balances than residential or consumer loans, the deterioration of even one or a few relationships could drive a disproportionate increase in non-performing loans and provision expense, a risk concentrated by loan-type choice rather than by geographic footprint, which spans nine Pennsylvania and Maryland counties whose largest employers are diversified across agriculture, tourism, education, healthcare and government.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From ACNB Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$662M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn34.2%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth2.3%
Beta0.87
Dividend2.82%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 68% of ACNB's loan portfolio consisted of commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial and construction'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouth-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland
    10-K Item 1A: 'ACNB provides banking and financial services to customers primarily in the South-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland region of the country'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Earnings Growth
3.8
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.93Resistance $66.16

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.4%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACNB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $65.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $58.37 reached (−10.4%), stop $62.46 (−4.3%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACNB stock price target?

Analyst target $58.37 reached (−10.4% from $65.12); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $58.37 reached (−10.4%), stop $62.46 (−4.3%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $62.46.

What are the risks of investing in ACNB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate, commercial and industrial and construction loans (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away).

Is ACNB overvalued or undervalued?

ACNB Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACNB?

10 analysts cover ACNB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $69.

What does ACNB Corporation do?ACNB Corporation is the Gettysburg, Pennsylvania-based financial holding company for ACNB Bank, a $3.21 billion-asset...

ACNB Corporation is the Gettysburg, Pennsylvania-based financial holding company for ACNB Bank, a $3.21 billion-asset community bank with 33 banking offices across South-central Pennsylvania and Northern Maryland, and ACNB Insurance Services, a property-casualty and life/health insurance agency licensed in 46 states. The bank's loan book is concentrated in commercial lending, with commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and construction loans making up approximately 68% of total loans as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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