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AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.39: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality.

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States. Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor... Read more

$4.39+87.7% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#119 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $4.10Target $8.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst target$9.50+116.4%6 analysts
$8.27our TP
$4.39price
$9.50mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.39: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-4.5
Profit Mgn-194.9%
ROE-14.5%
Rev Growth788.2%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV112%elevated
Max Pain$2-54.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
3.5

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -234% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.22Resistance $4.42

Price Targets

$4
$8
A.Upside+88.4%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABCL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.39: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $4.10. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABCL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.27 (+87.7% upside). Prior stop was $4.10. Stop-loss: $4.10.

What are the risks of investing in ABCL?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is ABCL overvalued or undervalued?

AbCellera Biologics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABCL?

14 analysts cover ABCL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does AbCellera Biologics Inc. do?AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet...

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States. Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor symptoms; and ABCL575, a fully human, half-life extended monoclonal antibody, which is in in a Phase 1 clinical trial for treating T-cell-mediated autoimmune conditions, such as atopic dermatitis. The company has a research collaboration and license agreement with Eli Lilly and Company; AbbVie Inc.; and partnership agreement with Viking Global Investors & ArrowMark Partners and Biogen Inc. AbCellera Biologics Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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