Skip to main content
AAMIAcadian Asset Management Inc.Hold6.4·$91.27
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Acadian Asset Management exhibits high-quality financials — 143% free cash flow conversion and 39% year-over-year revenue growth — with a technically favorable risk/reward of 3.5-to-1 to the near-term resistance target, but the stock trades approximately 27.6% above analyst consensus and a 70% non-U.S. AUM concentration constitutes a geographic cliff that warrants only a small initial position while awaiting a pullback to a better entry level.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Cash Generative Franchise→Stable
  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Geographic Concentration Cliff Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 70% exposure to non-U.S. denominated AUM (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. denominated AUM (70.0%).

Acadian Asset Management Inc. is a holding company operating systematic investment management through Acadian Asset Management LLC, which managed approximately $178 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2025, serving institutional clients across more than 40... Read more

$91.27-11.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#36 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield7.13%
IncomeYield0.44%(5y avg 0.16%)Payout7.80%sustainable
Stop $86.46Analyst target $80.47(reached)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst consensus$94.67+3.7%3 analysts
$91.27price
$94.67mean
$85
$102

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 70% exposure to non-U.S. denominated AUM (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. denominated AUM (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Single-region cliff: 70% exposure to non-U.S. denominated AUM (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. denominated AUM (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.4
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA20.0
Profit Mgn15.2%
ROE106.8%
Rev Growth45.3%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.44%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProducttop-5 investment strategies46%
    10-K Item 1A: '$81 billion, or 46%, of our assets under management were concentrated across five investment strategies'
  • LOWCustomertop five client relationships14%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top five client relationships represented approximately 14% of total run rate gross management fee revenue'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 25 client relationships33%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top 25 clients represented approximately 33% of run rate gross management fee revenue'
  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. denominated AUM70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 70% of our AUM is in non-US denominated currencies'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.6
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.13Resistance $97.39

Price Targets

A.Upside-11.8%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+2) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -11.8% (lift floor +1.5%)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAMI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Single-region cliff: 70% exposure to non-U.S. denominated AUM (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. denominated AUM (70.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $80.47 reached (−11.8%), stop $86.46 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AAMI stock price target?

Analyst target $80.47 reached (−11.8% from $91.27); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $80.47 reached (−11.8%), stop $86.46 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $86.46.

What are the risks of investing in AAMI?

Single-region cliff: 70% exposure to non-U.S. denominated AUM (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. denominated AUM (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AAMI overvalued or undervalued?

Acadian Asset Management Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.4 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AAMI?

8 analysts cover AAMI with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Acadian Asset Management Inc. do?Acadian Asset Management Inc. is a holding company operating systematic investment management through Acadian Asset...

Acadian Asset Management Inc. is a holding company operating systematic investment management through Acadian Asset Management LLC, which managed approximately $178 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2025, serving institutional clients across more than 40 countries. Management fees based on AUM values drive revenue; the institutional channel accounts for over 80% of AUM, with sub-advisory and wealth channels representing nearly 20%.

Related stocks: GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust, Inc. (The) · HLNE (Hamilton Lane Incorporated) · CII (BlackRock Enhanced Large Cap Co) · TWN (Taiwan Fund, Inc. (The)) · FFA (First Trust Enhanced Equity Inc)
Home › Stocks › AAMI

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey92d ago
TradingKey92d ago
MarketBeat183d ago
Investing.com Nigeria162d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus162d agoAnalyst
The Globe and Mail162d ago
TradingKey134d ago
TipRanks134d ago
TradingKey134d ago
Investing.com India134d ago
Investing.com134d ago
Kalkine134d ago
GuruFocus106d ago
Marketscreener.com106d agoEarnings
The Daily Telegraph106d agoLegal
Qz.com197d ago
Newsline.com141d ago
Investing.com Australia141d ago
DonanımHaber113d agoEarnings
MarketBeat204d ago
Loading more...