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WDFCWD-40 CompanyBuy Wait6.4·$194.82-2.12%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

WD-40 Company is a high-quality compounder with a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 31% return on equity, and a wide economic moat, and has beaten earnings in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but trades at an expensive forward P/E of 35.5x with RSI at 75 indicating overbought conditions and an earnings report due in 23 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Near Term CatalystImproving
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Overbought Expensive ValuationImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Wait for pullback to $194.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $194.82. Engine's entry $194.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product driving the majority of maintenance product sales through hardware, automotive, retail, and online channels. Revenue comes from direct product sales outsourced to... Read more

$194.82+18.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.62%
IncomeYield2.09%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout59.57%sustainable
Entry $194.02(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $184.36Target $230.92(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$271.67+39.4%3 analysts
$230.92our TP
$194.82price
$271.67mean
$305

Wait for pullback to $194.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $194.82. Engine's entry $194.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.6
P/E (Fwd)29.8
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA21.1
Profit Mgn13.2%
ROE33.3%
Rev Growth24.3%
Beta0.26
Dividend2.09%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
15 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $194.05Resistance $232.81

Price Targets

$184
$194
$231
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.8%
Max %3.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $194.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $194.82. Engine's entry $194.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $230.92 (+18.5%), stop $184.36 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.92 (+18.5% upside). Target $230.92 (+18.5%), stop $184.36 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $184.36.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 29.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WDFC?

11 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $272.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product...

WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product driving the majority of maintenance product sales through hardware, automotive, retail, and online channels. Revenue comes from direct product sales outsourced to third-party contract manufacturers globally; 66% of FY2025 consolidated net sales were from outside the U.S., with 714 employees across 18 countries.

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