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VYXNCR Voyix CorporationSell5.3·$7.99-6.22%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NCR Voyix clears the engine's asymmetry gate on a perfect 4-quarter beat streak and cheap valuation, but a quality score far below the investment floor, a confirmed downtrend flagged as an overbought bear rally, and extreme 36% short interest keep the setup firmly speculative.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Asymmetry With Perfect Beat StreakStable
  • Quality Red Flag Negative Fcf NiStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Overbought Bear RallyStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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NCR Voyix Corporation (VYX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.99: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

NCR Voyix provides unified commerce software for retail and restaurant customers — point-of-sale, self-checkout, payments, and services on its cloud-based Voyix Commerce Platform — with about 13,500 employees in nearly 30 countries. It operates two segments, Retail and... Read more

$7.99+40.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#34 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-6.84%
Stop $7.43Target $11.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$12.86+60.9%7 analysts
$11.19our TP
$7.99price
$12.86mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.99: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About NCR Voyix Corporation

About NCR Voyix Corporation

NCR Voyix employed nearly 13,500 people across nearly 30 countries as of December 31, 2025, with 42% of its workforce in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, 28% in the United States, 25% in Asia Pacific, and 5% elsewhere in the Americas. The company holds more than 900 U.S. patents supporting its Voyix Commerce Platform, a microservices-based suite of point-of-sale, self-checkout, and payments software for the Retail and Restaurants segments it operates following its 2023 spin-off of NCR Atleos.

NCR Voyix earns revenue from subscription-based SaaS applications, integrated payment processing (Voyix Connect and Voyix Pay), professional and managed services, and hardware sales, targeting enterprise and mid-market retailers — convenience and fuel, grocery, drug and mass merchandise, and department and specialty — alongside quick-service, table-service, and fast-casual restaurants. The company spent $155 million on research and development in 2025, down slightly from $157 million in 2024, as it continues converting its legacy software portfolio into microservices-based SaaS built on the Voyix Commerce Platform. Following the August 2024 Hardware Business Transition, Ennoconn Corporation will become NCR Voyix's single-source manufacturer for point-of-sale and self-checkout hardware, with NCR Voyix acting as Ennoconn's sales agent and recognizing hardware revenue on a net, commission basis once the transition completes in April 2026. Key competitors named in the 10-K include Block, Diebold Nixdorf, Fiserv, Global Payments, Oracle, PAR Technology, and Toast.

Show full overview

NCR Voyix's Hardware Business Transition concentrates a previously diversified global manufacturing network into a single named counterparty: once implementation completes, Ennoconn will design, manufacture, warrant, supply, and ship substantially all of NCR Voyix's point-of-sale and self-checkout hardware directly to customers. The 10-K acknowledges that a substantial majority of hardware-related revenue will no longer be recognized by NCR Voyix once this occurs, and that if Ennoconn fails to deliver on its commitments or breaches its obligations to customers, NCR Voyix's reputation and customer relationships — not just its hardware margin — could be harmed.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From NCR Voyix Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Ennoconn (hardware manufacturing)
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.3
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE5.4%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta1.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV102%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierEnnoconn (hardware manufacturing)
    10-K Item 1: 'we will utilize Ennoconn as our single-source partner to supply and manufacture substantially all of our hardware products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the NCR Voyix Corporation 2026 Stock Incentive Plan at the June 3, 2026 Annual Meeting, previously approved by the Board on April 17, 2026; no further awards will be granted under the prior 2017 plan. No director or officer departure or appointment disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.8
Net Margin
1.4
Roa
1.6
Roe
1.8
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
4.2
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -112% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 6.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
4.7
Beta
5.0
Put Call
6.1
High short interest: 36%High IV: 102%Above max pain $2Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.9
Bollinger
3.9
Support Resistance
4.9
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.61Resistance $9.29

Price Targets

$7
$11
A.Upside+40.1%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VYX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.99: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $7.43. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VYX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.19 (+40.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.43. Stop-loss: $7.43.

What are the risks of investing in VYX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Ennoconn (hardware manufacturing); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is VYX overvalued or undervalued?

NCR Voyix Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VYX?

11 analysts cover VYX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

What does NCR Voyix Corporation do?NCR Voyix provides unified commerce software for retail and restaurant customers — point-of-sale, self-checkout,...

NCR Voyix provides unified commerce software for retail and restaurant customers — point-of-sale, self-checkout, payments, and services on its cloud-based Voyix Commerce Platform — with about 13,500 employees in nearly 30 countries. It operates two segments, Retail and Restaurants, having narrowed focus after spinning off NCR Atleos in 2023 and selling Digital Banking for $2.45 billion in 2024. It is now shifting hardware manufacturing to Ennoconn.

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