Valero Energy (VLO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $23.90
- Estimate
- $21.23
- Surprise
- +12.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $46.10B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.5 → 6.4/10
Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).
How the report landed
Valero Energy (VLO) beat the $21.23 estimate with adjusted EPS of $23.90 — a large 12.6% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.5/10) to Hold at 6.4/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates VLO Hold at 6.5/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +12.6% surprise compares with a +21.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-28.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $388.48
- Stop
- $369.32
The stock trades at 8.8× trailing but 7.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 29 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
VLO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Market cap
- $111.85B
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.2
- P/E (ttm)
- 8.8
- 52-week range
- $159.90–$461.52
- Off 52-week high
- 15.8%
- RSI (14)
- 29
- Volume vs avg
- 1.13×
- Score today
- 6.5/10