Valero Energy (VLO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $12.54
- Estimate
- $10.13
- Surprise
- +23.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $44.48B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.5 → 5.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Valero Energy (VLO) beat the $10.13 estimate with diluted EPS of $12.54 — a large 23.8% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.5/10) to Hold at 5.5/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates VLO Hold at 6.6/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +23.8% surprise compares with a +23.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-22.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
- Overbought (RSI 80)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $391.05
- Price target
- $448.98
- Stop
- $368.66
- Upside to target
- +14.8%
The stock trades at 16.3× trailing but 11.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 80 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
VLO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Market cap
- $112.41B
- P/E (fwd)
- 11.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 16.3
- 52-week range
- $155.29–$399.26
- Off 52-week high
- 2.1%
- RSI (14)
- 80
- Volume vs avg
- 1.26×
- Score today
- 6.6/10