Value
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.0 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.7 |
| PEG | 4.1 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 19.2x
- ▸PEG: 2.38
USPH · Why this verdict
Why U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score4.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.3 |
| ROA | 2.8 |
| Gross margin | 0.4 |
| Op margin | 2.9 |
| Net margin | 2.2 |
| Current ratio | 4.6 |
| FCF quality | 9.1 |
| Moat | 5.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 124% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
4.5/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.5 |
Momentum
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.7 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 43%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $48,777 (0.005% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.7 |
| quality rank | 3.3 |
| growth rank | 5.9 |
Technical
2.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.2 |
| support resistance | 2.0 |
| 52w position | 4.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.9 |
| days to cover | 6.7 |
| volatility | 4.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.6 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.4 |
| debt equity | 8.1 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 31.50
- ▸High IV: 77%
- ▸Above max pain $45
Catalyst
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.1 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Dividend: 278.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $1.00B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:5.8>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.8>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.8>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
2.82
Upside
+24.3%
Downside
8.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 6.4 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 6.4, Momentum at 5.8, and Value at 5.2; the weakest are Technical at 2.2, Peer rank at 2.7, and Quality at 4.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.82 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.