Value
6.5/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.8 |
| P/S | 8.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.1 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.7x
UL · Why this verdict
Why Unilever (UL) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 5.6 |
| Gross margin | 5.4 |
| Op margin | 8.0 |
| Net margin | 9.4 |
| Current ratio | 3.2 |
| FCF quality | 5.1 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 5.6 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 31%
- ▸Strong margins: 19%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 66% FCF/NI
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
1.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 2.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.4 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.3 |
| Price target | 7.8 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (4.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 21%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.5 |
| quality rank | 7.9 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.7 |
| support resistance | 7.1 |
| 52w position | 5.1 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 8.1 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 6.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 3.8 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.35
- ▸Above max pain $45
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 9.1 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 402.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:1.9<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.5<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.51
Upside
+2.5%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 6.5) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.9<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.5<1.5@spot, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.51 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.5, Quality at 6.5, and Technical at 6.5; the weakest are Momentum at 1.9, Insider at 5.0, and Growth at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.51 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.