Value
1.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 1.0 |
| PEG | 2.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 156.1x
- ▸PEG: 5.76
- ▸Expensive valuation
TSLA · Why this verdict
Why Tesla (TSLA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.2/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.6 |
| ROA | 1.5 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.7 |
| Net margin | 2.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.1 |
| FCF quality | 9.5 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 136% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
5.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.5 |
| EPS growth | 3.7 |
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.2 |
| Volume | 0.1 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 5.6 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $20,609,278 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.0 |
| quality rank | 7.4 |
| growth rank | 5.6 |
Technical
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.2 |
| support resistance | 7.5 |
| 52w position | 6.2 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.9 |
| days to cover | 9.8 |
| volatility | 3.2 |
| put call | 6.8 |
| implied vol | 3.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 4.0 |
| debt equity | 9.3 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Above max pain $305
Catalyst
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.6=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.62
Upside
-4.6%
Downside
7.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.80>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.2 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 6.7) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-0.6=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.62 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 6.7, Sentiment at 6.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.0; the weakest are Value at 1.4, Momentum at 2.0, and Catalyst at 3.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.62 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.