Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.48
- Estimate
- $0.45
- Surprise
- +6.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $28.05B
- Score today
- 4.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Tesla (TSLA) beat the $0.45 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.48 — a clear 6.4% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TSLA Sell at 4.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +6.4% surprise compares with a -1.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-27.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: Panasonic and CATL
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source direct suppliers
- Target reached (-6.5% upside)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $404.22
- Stop
- $376.10
The stock trades at 444.2× trailing but 187.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TSLA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Auto Manufacturers
- Market cap
- $1597.77B
- P/E (fwd)
- 187.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 444.2
- 52-week range
- $297.38–$498.83
- Off 52-week high
- 19.0%
- RSI (14)
- 62
- Volume vs avg
- 0.95×
- Score today
- 4.0/10