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TRIPTripAdvisor, Inc.Sell4.4·$13.10+5.52%
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TripAdvisor, Inc. (TRIP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.10: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Experiences, Hotels and Other, and TheFork. The Experiences segment operates an online travel agency for tours,... Read more

$13.10+6.1% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#15 of 15 Travel Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield12.54%
Stop $12.21Target $13.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$13.73+4.8%16 analysts
$13.92our TP
$13.10price
$13.73mean
$9
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.10: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.8% upside)
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)112.8
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.04bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$1-92.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
3.0
Gap
3.0
Extreme gap up (9.6%) - may pull back

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
4.7

Volatile — 5.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Days To Cover
1.0
Implied Vol
1.8
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
3.0
Put Call
6.4
Beta
7.5
High short interest: 34%High IV: 69%Above max pain $1
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.04Resistance $14.20

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.10: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Prior stop was $12.21. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.92 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $12.21. Stop-loss: $12.21.

What are the risks of investing in TRIP?

Target reached (-5.8% upside); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is TRIP overvalued or undervalued?

TripAdvisor, Inc. trades at a P/E of 112.8 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRIP?

21 analysts cover TRIP with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does TripAdvisor, Inc. do?Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services...

Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Experiences, Hotels and Other, and TheFork. The Experiences segment operates an online travel agency for tours, activities, and attractions, and acts as travel guidance platforms for travelers to discover, generate, and share authentic user-generated content in the form of ratings and reviews and opinions for destinations, points-of-interest, experiences, accommodations, restaurants, and cruises. The Hotels and Other segment primarily consist of the Tripadvisor hotel and restaurant guidance platform, which include hotel metasearch, and related advertising offerings primarily for hotels and restaurants. TheFork segment provides an online marketplace, which enables diners to discover and book online reservations at restaurants. Tripadvisor, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Needham, Massachusetts.

Related stocks: PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospita) · TNL (Travel Leisure Co.) · GBTG (Global Business Travel Group, I) · LIND (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I) · NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings )
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