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TELTE Connectivity plcBuy Wait6.1·$216.91+3.10%
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TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Wait for pullback to $214.20. At $216.91 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $214.20 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.3%.

TE Connectivity manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and Industrial Solutions (46%) segments, sold to ~130 countries primarily via direct sales (~75%). No single customer was material; 41% of net sales went... Read more

$216.91+10.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.78%
IncomeYield1.42%(5y avg 1.57%)Payout29.01%sustainable
Entry $214.20(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $197.54Target $237.13(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$263.47+21.5%19 analysts
$237.13our TP
$216.91price
$263.47mean
$338

Wait for pullback to $214.20. At $216.91 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $214.20 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.3%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$61.4B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn15.5%
ROE22.7%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta1.16
Dividend1.42%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$120-44.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive end market41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 41% of our net sales for fiscal 2025 were to customers in the automotive end market'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our net sales in fiscal 2025 were made to customers in China'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-17Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Existing $1.5B five-year unsecured revolving credit facility terminated and replaced by new $3.0B Five-Year Senior Credit Agreement entered February 13, 2026 with Bank of America as administrative agent.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
2.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spot8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $193.19Resistance $223.76

Price Targets

$198
$214
$237
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $214.20. At $216.91 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $214.20 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 9.3%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $237.13 (+9.3%), stop $197.54 (−9.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $237.13 (+10.7% upside). Target $237.13 (+9.3%), stop $197.54 (−9.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $197.54.

What are the risks of investing in TEL?

Thin upside margin: 9.3%.

Is TEL overvalued or undervalued?

TE Connectivity plc trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEL?

26 analysts cover TEL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $263.

What does TE Connectivity plc do?TE Connectivity manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net...

TE Connectivity manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions across Transportation Solutions (54% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and Industrial Solutions (46%) segments, sold to ~130 countries primarily via direct sales (~75%). No single customer was material; 41% of net sales went to automotive customers and 25% to customers in China in fiscal 2025.

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