Value
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.6 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.9 |
| PEG | 9.3 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 5.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.61
- ▸Attractively valued
TASK · Why this verdict
Why TaskUs (TASK) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
Revenue is concentrated, with the top twenty clients making up 71.0% of revenue, so the loss of a large client would hit results hard. Bear case | Top-twenty client share should hold at or below 71% and revenue should stay near $300M per quarter. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterOutsourcing contracts are often multi-year and sticky, and concentration may be an accepted feature rather than an imminent risk. | ||
The stock trades at a 5.8x forward P/E with a PEG of 0.64 while earning a 25% return on equity and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Valuation breakdown | Earnings should hold so the forward P/E stays below about 8x while ROE stays above 20% over 12 months. | ↑Improving |
| CounterGrowth scores only 3.8 for both revenue and earnings, so the low multiple may reflect slowing growth rather than mispricing. | ||
The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with the fourth in line, including 0.33 vs 0.28 estimated in August, an average surprise of 10.5%. Earnings | EPS should keep meeting or beating consensus, including the report due 2026-11-04. | ↑Improving |
| CounterEPS has declined from 0.42 to 0.33 over four quarters even as it beat lowered estimates, so beats may come from falling bars. | ||
The $8.56 price is 13.6% above the $7.39 analyst target, so analysts see no upside from here. Bear case | The analyst target should rise above $8.56, or price should consolidate, over the next two quarters. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterTargets often lag price in an uptrend, and a golden cross with rising on-balance volume suggests buyers are willing to pay above the target. | ||
Momentum is healthy at 6.2/10, above the 200-day average with rising on-balance volume, but short interest is 15% and the put/call ratio is 11.25. Momentum breakdown | Momentum score should hold above 5.5 and the put/call ratio should ease over the next two quarters. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterA put/call ratio of 11.25 and 15% short interest signal informed bearish positioning, and an officer change was disclosed. | ||
Revenue is concentrated, with the top twenty clients making up 71.0% of revenue, so the loss of a large client would hit results hard.
↓DeterioratingBear case
- Expectation
- Top-twenty client share should hold at or below 71% and revenue should stay near $300M per quarter.
CounterOutsourcing contracts are often multi-year and sticky, and concentration may be an accepted feature rather than an imminent risk.
The stock trades at a 5.8x forward P/E with a PEG of 0.64 while earning a 25% return on equity and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
↑ImprovingValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Earnings should hold so the forward P/E stays below about 8x while ROE stays above 20% over 12 months.
CounterGrowth scores only 3.8 for both revenue and earnings, so the low multiple may reflect slowing growth rather than mispricing.
The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with the fourth in line, including 0.33 vs 0.28 estimated in August, an average surprise of 10.5%.
↑ImprovingEarnings
- Expectation
- EPS should keep meeting or beating consensus, including the report due 2026-11-04.
CounterEPS has declined from 0.42 to 0.33 over four quarters even as it beat lowered estimates, so beats may come from falling bars.
The $8.56 price is 13.6% above the $7.39 analyst target, so analysts see no upside from here.
↓DeterioratingBear case
- Expectation
- The analyst target should rise above $8.56, or price should consolidate, over the next two quarters.
CounterTargets often lag price in an uptrend, and a golden cross with rising on-balance volume suggests buyers are willing to pay above the target.
Momentum is healthy at 6.2/10, above the 200-day average with rising on-balance volume, but short interest is 15% and the put/call ratio is 11.25.
↓DeterioratingMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Momentum score should hold above 5.5 and the put/call ratio should ease over the next two quarters.
CounterA put/call ratio of 11.25 and 15% short interest signal informed bearish positioning, and an officer change was disclosed.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.5 |
| ROA | 6.2 |
| Gross margin | 3.7 |
| Op margin | 4.7 |
| Net margin | 4.4 |
| Current ratio | 9.8 |
| FCF quality | 6.6 |
| Moat | 5.6 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 25%
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.8 |
| EPS growth | 3.8 |
Momentum
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 3.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 5.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.5 |
| quality rank | 6.2 |
| growth rank | 4.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.8 |
| support resistance | 6.7 |
| 52w position | 3.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 2.1 |
| days to cover | 5.1 |
| volatility | 3.2 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 1.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 3.3 |
| debt equity | 3.4 |
- ▸High short interest: 16%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.75
- ▸High IV: 74%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Earnings in 6 days
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Extreme risk factors.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:RISK_FLOORPassed (4)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.3=NEGATIVE
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-1.27
Upside
-9.5%
Downside
7.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.7B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — Beta 2.01>1.3, MCap $0.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 4.4<4.5 outcome against Value at 8.4 and asymmetric R:R of -1.27.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.4, Insider at 7.3, and Catalyst at 7.0; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 2.6, Growth at 3.8, and Momentum at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.27 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Cheap Valuation High Roe
Trip ifForward P/E rises above 12x from the current 5.8x, or ROE falls below 15% from 25%.
- P2Steady Earnings Beats
Trip ifEPS misses estimates in the 2026-11-04 report and in at least 1 of the next 2 quarters.
- P3Price Above Analyst Target
Trip ifPrice stays above the analyst target by more than 10% for 2 consecutive quarters without a target increase.
- P4Client Concentration Risk
Trip ifTop-twenty client share exceeds 75% of revenue, or quarterly revenue falls below $290M.
- P5Breakout Momentum Short Interest
Trip ifMomentum score falls below 4.5 from the current 6.2, or price drops to below the $8.02 stop-loss.