Shake Shack (SHAK) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.43
- Estimate
- $0.30
- Surprise
- +41.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-01)
- $417.6M
- Score today
- 4.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Shake Shack (SHAK) beat the $0.30 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.43 — a large 41.7% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates SHAK Sell at 4.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +41.7% surprise compares with a -8.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: 'Shroom Burgers
- Concentration risk — Supplier: ShackSauce
- Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $68.65
- Price target
- $73.05
- Stop
- $63.84
- Upside to target
- +6.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.5:1
The stock trades at 70.8× trailing but 47.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
SHAK at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Market cap
- $2.88B
- P/E (fwd)
- 47.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 70.8
- 52-week range
- $51.60–$107.46
- Off 52-week high
- 36.1%
- RSI (14)
- 54
- Volume vs avg
- 0.03×
- Score today
- 4.5/10