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SESea LimitedSell5.5·$103.46-0.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sea Limited has a wide economic moat, a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9/9, 47% year-over-year revenue growth, and an analyst consensus implying 62% upside, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average falling at -8.5% per month and 3 consecutive earnings misses mean the fundamental thesis is not yet translating into price.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Exceptional GrowthStable
  • Massive Analyst Implied UpsideStable
  • Earnings Misses Execution GapStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sea Limited (SE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. At $103.46, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 79).

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital... Read more

$103.46+19.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 22 Internet Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.38%
Stop $97.94Target $126.23(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$140.26+35.6%28 analysts
$126.23our TP
$103.46price
$140.26mean
$195

Sell if holding. At $103.46, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 79). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Wide economic moat
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Overbought (RSI 79)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.3
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$64.3B
EV/EBITDA22.9
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth46.6%
Beta1.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts37

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
0.6
Bollinger
0.8
Gap
6.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $80.80Resistance $106.81

Price Targets

$98
$126
A.Upside+22.0%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $103.46, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 79). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $97.94. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.23 (+19.9% upside). Prior stop was $97.94. Stop-loss: $97.94.

What are the risks of investing in SE?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 79); Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SE overvalued or undervalued?

Sea Limited trades at a P/E of 41.3 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SE?

37 analysts cover SE with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $140.

What does Sea Limited do?Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of...

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital entertainment platform for users to access mobile and PC online games, as well as promotes eSports operations and develops games. The company also operates the Shopee e-commerce platform, a mobile-centric marketplace that provides integrated payments, logistics and fulfillment infrastructure, and other value-added services. In addition, it offers Monee digital financial services comprising consumer, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) credit, e- wallets, payment processing, banking, Insurtech, and wealth services; and acts as an underwriter for various life and non-life insurance products under the MoneeInsure tradename, as well as insurance agency services. It serves buyers, such as individuals and households; and sellers, including small and medium businesses, brands, and large retailers. The company was formerly known as Garena Interactive Holding Limited and changed its name to Sea Limited in April 2017. Sea Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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