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SCZMSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd.Sell5.8·$9.75+0.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Santacruz Silver Mining combines a rock-bottom valuation (PEG 0.06) and high fundamental quality (35% ROE, 9/9 Piotroski) with 81% revenue growth, but a two-quarter earnings-miss streak and a recent news-driven downgrade to a more cautious stance argue for a staged entry rather than an immediate full position.

Thesis pillars

  • News Driven Sentiment DowngradeImproving
  • Deep Value At Low PegDeteriorating
  • High Quality FundamentalsDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZM) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also... Read more

$9.75-12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 34 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.56%
Stop $9.00Target $10.06(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$10.00+2.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 26, 202696d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$900M
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE22.5%
Rev Growth54.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.0
Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
1.6
Gap
3.0
Extreme gap up (5.2%) - may pull back

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $6.01Resistance $10.27

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside-12.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.1% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-26 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCZM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.00. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCZM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.06 (-12.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.00. Stop-loss: $9.00.

What are the risks of investing in SCZM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Overbought (RSI 81).

Is SCZM overvalued or undervalued?

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCZM?

9 analysts cover SCZM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. do?Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development,...

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also holds a portfolio of mineral properties in Mexico and Bolivia. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) · CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) · ALOY (REalloys Inc.) · LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) · USAS (Americas Gold and Silver Corpor)
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