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SBRSabine Royalty TrustSell4.4·$72.20-3.46%
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Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $72.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's royalty and mineral interests include landowner's royalties, overriding royalty interests, minerals, production payments, and other similar... Read more

$72.20+7.6% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#38 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield6.44%(5y avg 8.65%)Payout99.95%at-risk
Stop $69.82Target $77.66(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $72.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn94.5%
ROE832.9%
Rev Growth-26.9%
Beta0.21
Dividend6.44%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Revenue shrinking — -26.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -27%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Pe
7.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (40%).
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.98Resistance $79.25

Price Targets

$70
$78
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $72.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $69.82. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.66 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $69.82. Stop-loss: $69.82.

What are the risks of investing in SBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Expensive valuation.

Is SBR overvalued or undervalued?

Sabine Royalty Trust trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Sabine Royalty Trust do?Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United...

Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's royalty and mineral interests include landowner's royalties, overriding royalty interests, minerals, production payments, and other similar non-participatory interests in certain producing and proved undeveloped oil and gas properties located in Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. Sabine Royalty Trust was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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