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SBRSabine Royalty TrustHold6.0·$73.75+1.50%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sabine Royalty Trust operates with exceptional 95% margins and ranks best-in-class on profitability versus peers, but revenue has declined 27% year over year and momentum is weak, creating a high-quality but structurally shrinking business that requires a freight rate or commodity price recovery to justify new investment.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline Structural RiskStable
  • Best In Class Margin QualityStable
  • Earnings Miss ConcernStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's royalty and mineral interests include landowner's royalties, overriding royalty interests, minerals, production payments, and other similar... Read more

$73.75+15.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#30 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield6.57%(5y avg 8.65%)Payout99.94%at-risk
Stop $71.17Target $84.81(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202676d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn94.7%
ROE914.2%
Rev Growth16.5%
Beta0.23
Dividend6.57%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
2.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
8.5
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.41Resistance $74.04

Price Targets

$71
$85
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $84.81 (+15.0%), stop $71.17 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.81 (+15.0% upside). Target $84.81 (+15.0%), stop $71.17 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $71.17.

What are the risks of investing in SBR?

Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SBR overvalued or undervalued?

Sabine Royalty Trust trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

0
What does Sabine Royalty Trust do?Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United...

Sabine Royalty Trust holds royalty and mineral interests in various producing oil and gas properties in the United States. The company's royalty and mineral interests include landowner's royalties, overriding royalty interests, minerals, production payments, and other similar non-participatory interests in certain producing and proved undeveloped oil and gas properties located in Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas. Sabine Royalty Trust was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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