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SAILSailPoint, Inc.Buy Wait5.3·$17.90-1.86%
SAIL · Why this verdict

Why SailPoint (SAIL) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

4.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/S3.7
Fwd P/E2.4
PEG10.0
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 47.3x
  • PEG: 0.28

Quality

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Gross margin8.9
Op margin0.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio5.0
FCF quality8.6
Moat7.2
Piotroski F6.7
  • FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 28%, FCF yield 2.9%)

Growth

9.1/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth8.2
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 23% YoY

Momentum

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.0
MACD10.0
OBV1.0
MA position8.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Sentiment

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment5.0
Analyst rating7.5
Price target5.6

Insider

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
materiality4.5
insider conviction2.0
holder change7.3
notable moves7.0
  • Modest insider selling — $6,570,122 (0.064% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.4/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.3
quality rank0.4
growth rank5.9
  • Conservative debt levels

Technical

3.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger3.0
support resistance2.5
52w position4.4

Risk (lower is worse)

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest1.9
days to cover6.2
volatility0.0
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
debt equity8.9
  • High short interest justified: 16%
  • High IV: 128%
  • Above max pain $5

Catalyst

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
news activity8.0
  • Earnings in 1 days

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L3:NEWS_BLOCK
Passed (5)
  • MOMENTUM:4.8>=4.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.4=NEGATIVE
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d
Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.41
Upside
-6.2%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupMOMENTUM_CONT Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

A recent news event triggered an L3 news-block on the verdict path. Trigger: Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. The 10-dimension scores remain Growth at 9.1 (strongest), but ASYMMETRY:-0.4=NEGATIVE also fails — the news block is the proximate trigger, not the sole driver.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.1, Sentiment at 6.1, and Insider at 5.2; the weakest are Technical at 3.3, Quality at 4.0, and Catalyst at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.41 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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