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RLGTRadiant Logistics, Inc.Sell5.5·$9.45-0.42%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Radiant Logistics just triggered a bullish golden-cross breakout backed by strong cash conversion, but the stock has already run past its analyst target, turning near-term asymmetry negative, and recent insider selling adds a cautionary signal.

Thesis pillars

  • Golden Cross Breakout SetupStable
  • Strong Cash Conversion ValueStable
  • Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Radiant Logistics, Inc. (RLGT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 91.50; Below-average business quality.

Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering domestic and international freight forwarding, freight brokerage, and value-added services (materials management, customs brokerage, global trade management) across over 100 operating locations in the... Read more

$9.45+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 13 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.86%
Stop $8.91Target $9.49(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$10.25+8.5%2 analysts
$9.49our TP
$9.45price
$10.25mean
$9
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 91.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Radiant Logistics, Inc.

About Radiant Logistics, Inc.

Radiant Logistics operates more than 100 locations across the U.S. and Canada, roughly 30 of them company-owned and the remainder run by independent strategic operating partners under the Radiant, Airgroup, Adcom, DBA, Service by Air, and Navegate brands. Strategic operating partners generated approximately 42% of the company's consolidated adjusted gross profit in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, down from 50% in fiscal 2024, following 33 acquisitions completed since Radiant's first, Airgroup, in January 2006.

As a non-asset-based logistics provider, Radiant owns minimal transportation equipment, instead arranging shipments through a network of motor carriers, railroads, airlines, and ocean lines and earning gross margin on the spread between what it charges customers and what it pays carriers. Freight forwarding and freight brokerage - covering truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal service - are managed centrally through service centers in Chicago, Illinois and Toronto, Ontario, complemented by materials management and distribution, customs house brokerage, and global trade management offerings. Strategic operating partners handle their own sales and operating costs while relying on Radiant for operating authority, technology, working-capital access, and collective purchasing power, under agreements ranging from fixed-term to evergreen or month-to-month arrangements terminable by the partner on notice. The company competes against integrated small-parcel carriers such as FedEx, DHL, and UPS on larger shipments, and continues migrating its legacy operating and accounting systems onto a common SAP-based platform.

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Radiant's model depends entirely on outside carriers rather than owned assets: the company contracts with thousands of trucking, rail, ocean, and air providers and holds no equipment of its own, so carrier capacity shortages, bankruptcies, or price increases pass through directly to its margins. That third-party reliance extends to information systems - Radiant disclosed a ransomware incident in December 2021 and a separate cybersecurity incident affecting its Canadian operations in March 2024, both of which caused modest revenue loss and incremental costs before systems were restored to full functionality.

See also: Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

From Radiant Logistics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Sep 14, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.8% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.1
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$450M
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C91.50bearish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Net Margin
0.9
Roa
1.6
Roe
2.3
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 163% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.68Resistance $9.68

Price Targets

$9
$9
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-14 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 91.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.91. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLGT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.49 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $8.91. Stop-loss: $8.91.

What are the risks of investing in RLGT?

Target reached (-7.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is RLGT overvalued or undervalued?

Radiant Logistics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.1 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RLGT?

8 analysts cover RLGT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Radiant Logistics, Inc. do?Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering domestic and international freight...

Radiant Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider offering domestic and international freight forwarding, freight brokerage, and value-added services (materials management, customs brokerage, global trade management) across over 100 operating locations in the U.S. and Canada, split between about 30 company-owned sites and independent strategic operating partners. The company earns gross margin on the spread between customer freight charges and payments to carriers, serving a diversified base with no single customer or operating partner exceeding 10% of consolidated revenue.

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