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REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.Buy Wait7.4·$38.17+0.53%

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-5.8% vs estimateEPS $1.54 vs $1.63 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.54
Estimate
$1.63
Surprise
-5.8%
Score at report (before → after)
6.66.4/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) missed the $1.63 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.54 — a clear 5.8% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.6/10) to Hold at 6.4/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-08-23

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates REPX Buy (Wait) at 7.4/10.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -5.8% surprise compares with a -1.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What supports the rating

  • Strong overall score: 7.4/10
  • High-quality business

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Geographic: Northwest Shelf within the Permian Basin
  • Thin upside margin: 4.7%
  • Consecutive earnings misses (3)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$38.17
Entry target
$34.89
Price target
$39.95
Stop
$32.50
Upside to target
+4.7%
Reward-to-risk
0.3:1

The stock trades at 6.8× trailing but 4.7× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 73 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Energy context

REPX at TrendMatrix's latest read

Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.

Industry
Oil & Gas E&P
Market cap
$845.6M
P/E (fwd)
4.7
P/E (ttm)
6.8
52-week range
$24.08$41.53
Off 52-week high
8.1%
RSI (14)
73
Volume vs avg
1.02×
Score today
7.4/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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