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QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.Hold6.7·$16.34+0.43%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

QuinStreet combines a wide moat, strong cash conversion, and 28% revenue growth with an attractive valuation, but shares are deeply overbought with late-cycle distribution risk, and a thin 4.5% upside margin leaves the reward-to-risk ratio well short of the 1.5-to-1 bar.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Upside Failed AsymmetryStable
  • Wide Moat Quality CharacteristicsStable
  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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QuinStreet, Inc. (QNST) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

QuinStreet operates performance-marketing marketplaces that connect financial services and home services clients with high-intent online traffic, generating revenue on a per-click, per-lead, or per-action basis largely in North America. The company's largest client accounted for... Read more

$16.34+1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 16 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.52%
Stop $15.22Target $16.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$19.00+16.3%5 analysts
$16.53our TP
$16.34price
$19.00mean
$15
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
Overbought (RSI 91)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$942M
EV/EBITDA21.0
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth28.3%
Beta0.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
9.1
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
91 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.78Resistance $16.84

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QNST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $16.53 (+1.2%), stop $15.22 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.53 (+1.2% upside). Target $16.53 (+1.2%), stop $15.22 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $15.22.

What are the risks of investing in QNST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); Overbought (RSI 91).

Is QNST overvalued or undervalued?

QuinStreet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about QNST?

12 analysts cover QNST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $19.

What does QuinStreet, Inc. do?QuinStreet operates performance-marketing marketplaces that connect financial services and home services clients with...

QuinStreet operates performance-marketing marketplaces that connect financial services and home services clients with high-intent online traffic, generating revenue on a per-click, per-lead, or per-action basis largely in North America. The company's largest client accounted for 23% of net revenue in fiscal 2025, and its top 20 clients together represented 62% of net revenue, up sharply from 46% in fiscal 2024.

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