Skip to main content
QDELQuidelOrtho CorporationSell5.2·$16.57+0.42%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

QuidelOrtho is an attractively valued diagnostics company with a forward P/E of 6.0x and a strong recent earnings track record, but high short interest of 24%, declining revenue of -10%, and a market cap below the $1 billion investable threshold create significant headwinds that must be resolved before the value opportunity can be realized.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Investable Market CapDeteriorating
  • Deep Value Forward PeStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak RecoveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Earnings in 7 days (2026-08-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.57: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality.

QuidelOrtho develops and sells in-vitro diagnostic instruments and tests across four business units — Labs, Molecular Diagnostics, Point of Care, and Transfusion Medicine — serving customers in more than 140 countries through direct sales and distributors. Respiratory... Read more

$16.57+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#51 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield18.54%
Stop $15.41Target $17.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$20.50+23.7%4 analysts
$17.43our TP
$16.57price
$20.50mean
$12
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.57: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31

Recent Developments — QuidelOrtho Corporation

Generated 2026-07-31T02:43:38Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single and sole source suppliers
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn-45.6%
ROE-49.9%
Rev Growth-10.5%
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV101%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWProductrespiratory products15%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales of our respiratory products accounted for approximately 15% of our total revenues for the year ended December 28, 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle and sole source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'our reliance on a small number of contract manufacturers and a large number of single and sole source suppliers'
  • MEDIUMCustomerkey distributors
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on certain key distributors for the sales of some of our products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Board appointed Micah Young as CFO effective July 6, 2026, succeeding Joseph M. Busky, who previously announced plans to retire (disclosed February 13, 2026). Busky continues in his role through the effective date under a transition and retirement agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -45.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.3
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
5.0
Current Ratio
5.3
Fcf Quality
5.6
Piotroski F
5.6
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 8%, FCF yield 18.5%)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
0.9
Value Rank
9.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.9
Obv
6.8
Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.49Resistance $19.03

Price Targets

$15
$17
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QDEL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.57: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.41. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QDEL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.43 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $15.41. Stop-loss: $15.41.

What are the risks of investing in QDEL?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single and sole source suppliers; Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is QDEL overvalued or undervalued?

QuidelOrtho Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QDEL?

10 analysts cover QDEL with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $21.

What does QuidelOrtho Corporation do?QuidelOrtho develops and sells in-vitro diagnostic instruments and tests across four business units — Labs, Molecular...

QuidelOrtho develops and sells in-vitro diagnostic instruments and tests across four business units — Labs, Molecular Diagnostics, Point of Care, and Transfusion Medicine — serving customers in more than 140 countries through direct sales and distributors. Respiratory diagnostics products, including the QuickVue and Sofia platforms, accounted for approximately 15% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, while the company winds down its U.S. donor-screening portfolio, expected substantially complete by the first half of 2026.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · DCTH (Delcath Systems, Inc.) · TCMD (Tactile Systems Technology, Inc) · ATEC (Alphatec Holdings, Inc.) · MOBI (Mobia Medical, Inc.)
Home Stocks QDEL

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga22d agoAnalyst
Benzinga30d agoAnalyst
Benzinga31d ago
Benzinga32d ago
Benzinga38d ago
Benzinga85d ago
Benzinga85d ago
Benzinga86d ago
Benzinga86d ago
Benzinga87d ago
Benzinga102d ago
Benzinga105d ago
Benzinga105d ago
Benzinga105d ago
Benzinga106d ago
Benzinga106d ago
Benzinga106d ago
Benzinga106d ago
Benzinga106d ago
Benzinga106d agoEarnings
Loading more...