Value
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.1 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.2 |
| PEG | 3.0 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 20.7x
- ▸PEG: 4.11
PG · Why this verdict
Why Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 7.3 |
| Gross margin | 6.2 |
| Op margin | 9.2 |
| Net margin | 9.6 |
| Current ratio | 2.9 |
| FCF quality | 5.8 |
| Moat | 7.6 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 31%
- ▸Strong margins: 19%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 77% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
3.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.3 |
| EPS growth | 3.2 |
Momentum
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 2.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
Sentiment
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.8 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 6.8 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.9 |
| quality rank | 8.7 |
| growth rank | 7.5 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.5 |
| support resistance | 3.6 |
| 52w position | 7.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.4 |
| days to cover | 7.4 |
| volatility | 6.9 |
| put call | 5.3 |
| implied vol | 7.4 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 6.9 |
| news risk | 5.5 |
Catalyst
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.6 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 291.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_E_WIDE_MOATPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- DEATH_CROSS:QUALITY_MOMENTUM_EXEMPT
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:quality=7.5>=7.5+momentum=6.8>=5.0 exempted
Reward-to-Risk
0.32
Upside
+1.6%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityCONSERVATIVE — Beta 0.39<0.8, Div 291.0%, Q=7.5
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's 0.3<1.5@spot outcome against Quality at 7.5 and asymmetric R:R of 0.32.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 7.5, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.4, and Momentum at 6.8; the weakest are Growth at 3.8, Technical at 4.5, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.32 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.