Newmark Group has delivered four consecutive earnings beats and 27% year-over-year revenue growth in commercial real estate services, but a confirmed death-cross technical pattern, weak momentum, and falling on-balance volume signal that near-term price recovery is not yet established.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
- Four Quarter Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Death Cross Technical Blockage→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Newmark Group provides commercial real estate advisory and transaction services to institutional investors and corporate occupiers across capital markets, leasing, loan origination, servicing, property management, and occupier solutions. The company generated approximately $3.3... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-14Recent Developments — Newmark Group, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Newmark (NMRK) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Why Newmark Group (NMRK) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Newmark Group (NMRK) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS NMRK|Newmark Group Inc|Price:15.045|Chg%:-0.295 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Newmark Group Expands and Extends Revolving Credit Facility - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
Generated 2026-09-14T06:44:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicUnited States10-K Item 1A: 'we derived the large majority of our total revenues on a consolidated basis for the year ended December 31, 2025 from our operations in the United States'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $13.67. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $17.18 (+19.2% upside). Prior stop was $13.67. Stop-loss: $13.67.
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Negative momentum.
Newmark Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.0 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover NMRK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $20.
What does Newmark Group, Inc. do?Newmark Group provides commercial real estate advisory and transaction services to institutional investors and...
Newmark Group provides commercial real estate advisory and transaction services to institutional investors and corporate occupiers across capital markets, leasing, loan origination, servicing, property management, and occupier solutions. The company generated approximately $3.3 billion in revenues in 2025, with the top 10 clients representing about 9.1% of total consolidated revenue.