Value
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.3 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 5.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.01
- ▸Attractively valued
NEXA · Why this verdict
Why Nexa Resources (NEXA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.1 |
| ROA | 4.8 |
| Gross margin | 1.2 |
| Op margin | 9.6 |
| Net margin | 3.2 |
| Current ratio | 3.4 |
| FCF quality | 9.0 |
| Moat | 6.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 121% FCF/NI
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 42% YoY
Momentum
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.8 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Below analyst target
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
5.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.2 |
| quality rank | 6.9 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.2 |
| support resistance | 6.0 |
| 52w position | 6.3 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.6 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 9.9 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 7.7 |
| debt equity | 4.4 |
- ▸High IV: 101%
Catalyst
3.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Dividend: 118.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:46d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.5=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.49
Upside
-22.4%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.8B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Catalyst at 3.0. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 8.4, and Technical at 5.9; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.0, Momentum at 4.1, and Sentiment at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.49 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.