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NEXANexa Resources S.A.Hold6.4·$14.34+4.41%
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Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Smelting. It produces metallic zinc, zamac, gold, sulfuric acid and zinc oxide, as well as by-products, such as... Read more

$14.34+11.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 21 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield13.97%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 5.05%)Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $13.32Target $15.92(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$12.25-14.6%8 analysts
$15.92our TP
$14.34price
$12.25mean
$6
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.7
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA4.4
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE24.4%
Rev Growth41.7%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 118.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.02Resistance $16.25

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+11.0%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEXA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $15.92 (+11.0%), stop $13.32 (−7.7%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEXA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.92 (+11.2% upside). Target $15.92 (+11.0%), stop $13.32 (−7.7%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $13.32.

What are the risks of investing in NEXA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is NEXA overvalued or undervalued?

Nexa Resources S.A. trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NEXA?

12 analysts cover NEXA with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Nexa Resources S.A. do?Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide. The...

Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Mining and Smelting. It produces metallic zinc, zamac, gold, sulfuric acid and zinc oxide, as well as by-products, such as sulfuric acid, silver concentrate, copper cement, copper sulfate, lead concentrate, lead-silver concentrate, and other metallurgical by-products. The Company owns and operates three polymetallic mines in Peru and two polymetallic mines in Brazil. The company owns and operates three polymetallic mines in Peru and two polymetallic mines in Brazil; zinc smelter in Peru and two zinc smelters in Brazil. The company was formerly known as VM Holding S.A. and changed its name to Nexa Resources S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Nexa Resources S.A. is a subsidiary of Votorantim S.A.

Related stocks: USAS (Americas Gold and Silver Corpor) · LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) · CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) · USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.) · ALM (Almonty Industries Inc.)
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