Value
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.5 |
| P/S | 9.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.3 |
| PEG | 4.7 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.2x
- ▸PEG: 1.81
MKC · Why this verdict
Why McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.4 |
| ROA | 3.3 |
| Gross margin | 3.6 |
| Op margin | 5.7 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.0 |
| FCF quality | 1.8 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 25%
- ▸Strong margins: 23%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 23% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
Growth
6.7/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.7 |
Momentum
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 3.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.2 |
| Price target | 8.5 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 29%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $105,960 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.5 |
| quality rank | 9.0 |
| growth rank | 9.2 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.4 |
| support resistance | 3.2 |
| 52w position | 2.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| volatility | 5.5 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 4.8 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.2 |
| debt equity | 7.1 |
- ▸Above max pain $35
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)
Catalyst
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.5 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 406.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:17d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.4>=5.0 recovering
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.05
Upside
+12.0%
Downside
5.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56
EdgeCATALYST — Earnings in 17d with 3/4 beat streak
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5. Top dim: Value at 6.8; weakest: Technical at 2.4. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 6.8, Growth at 6.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.6; the weakest are Technical at 2.4, Insider at 5.0, and Catalyst at 5.5. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.05 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.