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MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.Buy Wait6.3·$123.58+9.00%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mohawk Industries combines four consecutive earnings beats, an attractively priced forward multiple at 11.3x, and improving momentum signals — but with the stock essentially at near-term resistance with less than 2% headroom, the setup rewards current holders more than it justifies adding new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ValuationStable
  • Cash Conversion Financial StrengthStable
  • Recovery Momentum EmergingImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 0 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $107.58. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $123.58. Engine's entry $107.58 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from... Read more

$123.58-10.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.43%
Entry $107.58(support + ATR (held))Stop $98.97Target $119.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$122.71-0.7%14 analysts
$119.71our TP
$123.58price
$122.71mean
$109
$146

Wait for pullback to $107.58. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $123.58. Engine's entry $107.58 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31

Recent Developments — Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-31T05:24:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.6
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierone or a small number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on one or a small number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    May 21, 2026: Stockholders approved the Mohawk Industries 2026 Incentive Plan, effective May 21, 2026 (term through May 21, 2036), with 3,500,000 shares reserved for options, RSUs, and other equity awards. Replaces the prior 2017 Incentive Plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.7
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $105.52Resistance $122.15

Price Targets

$99
$108
$120
A.Upside-10.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.7% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $107.58. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $123.58. Engine's entry $107.58 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $119.71 (-3.1%), stop $98.97 (−24.9%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $119.71 (-10.7% upside). Target $119.71 (-3.1%), stop $98.97 (−24.9%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $98.97.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MHK?

21 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $123.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40%...

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from residential and commercial construction and remodeling through floor covering retailers, home centers, and other channels; 54% of sales were from the US and 46% international.

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