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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Below 200-day MA.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments:... Read more

$107.27+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Stop $100.25Target $113.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$126.53+18.0%15 analysts
$113.88our TP
$107.27price
$126.53mean
$96
$155

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.77bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$165+53.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $94.56Resistance $112.76

Price Targets

$100
$114
A.Upside+6.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $113.88 (+6.2%), stop $100.25 (−7.0%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.88 (+5.6% upside). Target $113.88 (+6.2%), stop $100.25 (−7.0%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $100.25.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Below 200-day MA.

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MHK?

22 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and...

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards. It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers. The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico. It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.

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