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MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.Buy Wait5.9·$127.78
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Mohawk Industries combines four consecutive earnings beats, an attractively priced forward multiple at 11.3x, and improving momentum signals — but with the stock essentially at near-term resistance with less than 2% headroom, the setup rewards current holders more than it justifies adding new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Valuation→Stable
  • Cash Conversion Financial Strength→Stable
  • Recovery Momentum Emerging↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $116.79. Price sits above the model's entry target of $116.79; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from... Read more

$127.78-3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.17%
Entry $116.79(support + ATR (held))Stop $110.94Analyst target $122.82(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$136.47+6.8%15 analysts
$127.78price
$136.47mean
$112
$188

Wait for pullback to $116.79. Price sits above the model's entry target of $116.79; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn4.2%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.58bearish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$160+25.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierone or a small number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on one or a small number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    May 21, 2026: Stockholders approved the Mohawk Industries 2026 Incentive Plan, effective May 21, 2026 (term through May 21, 2036), with 3,500,000 shares reserved for options, RSUs, and other equity awards. Replaces the prior 2017 Incentive Plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dINSIDER 0.26%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.8>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $114.37Resistance $129.39

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $116.79. Price sits above the model's entry target of $116.79; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $122.82 reached (−3.9%), stop $110.94 (−15.2%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Analyst target $122.82 reached (−3.9% from $127.78); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $122.82 reached (−3.9%), stop $110.94 (−15.2%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $110.94.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MHK?

21 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40%...

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from residential and commercial construction and remodeling through floor covering retailers, home centers, and other channels; 54% of sales were from the US and 46% international.

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