Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.5 |
| P/S | 9.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.9x
- ▸PEG: 0.18
- ▸Attractively valued
LXU · Why this verdict
Why LSB Industries (LXU) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.0 |
| ROA | 2.9 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 5.2 |
| Net margin | 3.6 |
| Current ratio | 9.9 |
| FCF quality | 6.6 |
| Moat | 4.9 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
8.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.1 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.3 |
| MACD | 2.6 |
| OBV | 4.4 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 2.3 |
- ▸Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.5 |
| Price target | 7.6 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
Insider
3.5/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $72,604,011 (8.055% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.5 |
| quality rank | 7.9 |
| growth rank | 9.0 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.0 |
| support resistance | 9.5 |
| 52w position | 4.6 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.5 |
| days to cover | 9.6 |
| volatility | 0.3 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 5.6 |
- ▸High IV: 113%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.35
Upside
+3.5%
Downside
9.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $0.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 8.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.6, Value at 7.9, and Technical at 6.8; the weakest are Insider at 3.5, Momentum at 4.3, and Quality at 4.9. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.35 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.