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KYIVKyivstar Group Ltd.Buy Wait6.8·$13.90-2.25%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kyivstar is a high-quality, cash-generative business growing revenue at 27% year-over-year while trading at a PEG below 1.5, offering roughly 11% upside to the analyst take-profit target with a favorable risk/reward of approximately 1.6-to-1; the primary risk is that the small market capitalization and high implied volatility can amplify short-term drawdowns.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Growth Ahead Of ValuationStable
  • Uptrend Pullback EntryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Wait for pullback to $13.28. At $13.90 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.28 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate customers in Ukraine. The company offers a range of connectivity and digital services, including mobile and fixed-line voice and data, ride-hailing, e-health, and... Read more

$13.90+10.3% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield21.17%
Entry $13.28(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $12.19Target $15.34(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$17.63+26.8%10 analysts
$15.34our TP
$13.90price
$17.63mean
$20

Wait for pullback to $13.28. At $13.90 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.28 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.38, quality 8.0/10, growth 9.6/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)0.2
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn13.5%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth26.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C30.00bearish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$10-28.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 24)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.78Resistance $16.55

Price Targets

$12
$13
$15
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KYIV stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.28. At $13.90 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $13.28 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.38, quality 8.0/10, growth 9.6/10). Target $15.34 (+10.4%), stop $12.19 (−14.0%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KYIV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.34 (+10.3% upside). Target $15.34 (+10.4%), stop $12.19 (−14.0%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $12.19.

What are the risks of investing in KYIV?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Is KYIV overvalued or undervalued?

Kyivstar Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 0.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KYIV?

14 analysts cover KYIV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Kyivstar Group Ltd. do?Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate...

Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate customers in Ukraine. The company offers a range of connectivity and digital services, including mobile and fixed-line voice and data, ride-hailing, e-health, and digital TV; a suite of self-service options; and enterprise solutions, such as Big Data, cloud, and cybersecurity. It also provides voice, data, messaging, and wireless internet services; and corporate internet access, fixed-line telephone, data transmission and fixed-mobile convergence, and internet-TV through FTTB network connections. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates. Kyivstar Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of Vimpelcom Amsterdam B.V.

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