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KROKronos Worldwide IncSell5.7·$6.00+0.50%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kronos Worldwide trades at a cheap forward multiple with a technically oversold setup within an uptrend and modest insider buying, but quality sits below the engine's floor, the stock has already reached its prior target, and a failed momentum gate alongside three earnings misses in the last four quarters keeps position sizing at avoid.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Target ReachedStable
  • Cheap Forward ValuationStable
  • Oversold Momentum In UptrendStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Kronos Worldwide Inc (KRO) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.00: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Kronos Worldwide is a global producer and marketer of titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigments, selling to roughly 3,000 customers in 100 countries primarily across Europe, North America and Asia Pacific. The company operates six TiO2 plants -- four in Europe, one in Canada and one in... Read more

$6.00+26.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#13 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield7.78%
IncomeYield3.35%(5y avg 5.81%)Payout33.90%sustainable
Stop $5.60Target $7.43(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$6.50+8.3%2 analysts
$7.43our TP
$6.00price
$6.50mean
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.00: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Kronos Worldwide Inc

About Kronos Worldwide Inc

Kronos Worldwide produced 480,000 metric tons of titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigment in 2025 across six plants -- four in Europe, one in Varennes, Canada, and one near Lake Charles, Louisiana -- selling to approximately 3,000 customers in 100 countries. Core TiO2 pigment sales made up about 90% of 2025 net sales, with 45% of sales volume attributable to Europe and non-U.S. markets overall accounting for 64% of total revenue.

Kronos manufactures TiO2 using both chloride and sulfate processes, with the chloride process -- preferred for coatings and plastics, the two largest end-use markets at 59% and 30% of 2025 sales volume, respectively -- representing 83% of the company's expected 2026 capacity. Feedstock comes from a limited but growing pool of suppliers including Rio Tinto Iron and Titanium and Iluka Resources for chloride-grade ore and slag, while a company-owned ilmenite mine in Norway supplied all feedstock for its sulfate-process plants in 2025. Kronos competes against The Chemours Company, Tronox Holdings and LB Group Co., which together with Kronos hold roughly 42% of world TiO2 production capacity versus Kronos's own 6% share; Chemours holds about half of North American capacity. Approximately 50% of Kronos's common stock is owned by Valhi, Inc., itself majority-controlled by Contran Corporation, linking Kronos into the broader Contran-Simmons family of companies.

Show full overview

Kronos's earnings hinge on TiO2 pricing cycles rather than a single customer or supplier: no customer exceeded 10% of 2025 net sales, but the company's largest ten customers still accounted for approximately 35% of net sales, and its chloride-process feedstock depends on a limited number of suppliers principally located in Australia, South Africa, Norway, Canada and India. Layered on top, the 10-K discloses that Chinese competitors -- who benefit from lower regulatory and energy costs and continue advancing chloride-process technology -- have already prompted anti-dumping duties in the European Union, Brazil and Saudi Arabia, underscoring a pricing-power risk distinct from Kronos's customer or feedstock concentration.

See also: Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

From Kronos Worldwide Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-6.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$672M
EV/EBITDA-189.2
Profit Mgn-7.1%
ROE-16.8%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.98
Dividend3.35%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV96%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.3
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
9.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 3.4%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.9
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 16)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.77Resistance $7.58

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+23.8%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.00: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.60. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.43 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $5.60. Stop-loss: $5.60.

What are the risks of investing in KRO?

Target reached (-6.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is KRO overvalued or undervalued?

Kronos Worldwide Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRO?

9 analysts cover KRO with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Kronos Worldwide Inc do?Kronos Worldwide is a global producer and marketer of titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigments, selling to roughly 3,000...

Kronos Worldwide is a global producer and marketer of titanium dioxide (TiO2) pigments, selling to roughly 3,000 customers in 100 countries primarily across Europe, North America and Asia Pacific. The company operates six TiO2 plants -- four in Europe, one in Canada and one in Louisiana -- producing 480,000 metric tons in 2025, with core TiO2 pigment sales representing approximately 90% of net sales and non-U.S. markets accounting for 64% of revenue.

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