Value
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.2 |
| P/S | 6.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.1 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 29.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.20
KNSA · Why this verdict
Why Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna (KNSA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.6 |
| ROA | 5.5 |
| Gross margin | 6.9 |
| Op margin | 5.5 |
| Net margin | 4.8 |
| Current ratio | 9.2 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 161% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 56% YoY
Momentum
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 6.2 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.9 |
| Price target | 7.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 22%
Insider
3.1/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.4 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $34,045,638 (0.858% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.1 |
| quality rank | 5.6 |
| growth rank | 9.6 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.2 |
| support resistance | 5.4 |
| 52w position | 7.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.0 |
| days to cover | 5.6 |
| volatility | 3.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 2.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 4.0 |
- ▸High IV: 68%
- ▸Above max pain $25
Catalyst
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.1>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:46d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.59
Upside
+6.5%
Downside
11.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $4.0B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.1>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Catalyst at 2.5. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 7.1, and Quality at 6.9; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.5, Insider at 3.1, and Value at 5.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.59 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.