Skip to main content
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.Sell5.1·$161.40-0.01%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Jack Henry & Associates demonstrates a rare four-quarter perfect beat streak, high-quality net margins of 21%, and 25.5% upside to the analyst target at a 4-to-1 risk/reward—but a confirmed price downtrend at -2.6% per month slope and elevated leverage create timing risk for new positions despite the quality and asymmetry credentials.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Margins PiotroskiStable
  • Four Quarter Perfect Beat StreakStable
  • Favorable 25pct Upside AsymmetryImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. At $161.40, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Jack Henry & Associates is a financial technology company providing core data processing systems and complementary/payment products to approximately 7,400 community and regional banks, credit unions, and diverse corporate entities. The company operates three core banking... Read more

$161.40+7.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#34 of 48 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.12%
IncomeYield1.51%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout34.10%sustainable
Stop $152.96Target $172.38(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$191.53+18.7%15 analysts
$172.38our TP
$161.40price
$191.53mean
$215

Sell if holding. At $161.40, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

About Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

Jack Henry & Associates serves approximately 7,400 financial institutions and corporate entities, including over 950 banks on its SilverLake, CIF 20/20, and Core Director core platforms and roughly 715 credit unions on its Symitar core platform. The company derives most of its revenue from products and services sold to the financial services industry, and it has completed 35 strategic acquisitions since fiscal 1999 to expand its complementary and payments product lines, most recently Payrailz in fiscal 2023.

Jack Henry earns revenue from software license fees, hardware resales, and recurring support and services — the majority of which comes from six-year hosted private/public cloud contracts and electronic payment processing agreements, plus one-year contracts for on-premise clients; annual software support fees are typically priced at about 20% of the underlying license fee. The company re-markets third-party hardware from IBM, Lenovo, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, and Cisco to support on-premise installations, and its technology-modernization strategy centers on the Jack Henry Platform, a public cloud-native, API-first alternative to legacy core systems. As Jack Henry shifts more computing and hosting to outside providers, its 10-K notes that reliance is concentrated among certain third-party vendors that supply large portions of its hosting needs, and payment processing depends on card networks and faster-payment rails including Visa, Mastercard, Zelle, FedNow, and RTP.

Show full overview

Jack Henry is directly examined as a bank service provider, not just indirectly through its clients: the OCC, Federal Reserve Board, FDIC, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and National Credit Union Association all conduct ongoing supervision and examination of the company's operations. That direct regulatory relationship means examiner findings can require costly remediation on a timeline set by regulators rather than the company, and the same consolidation trend that has cut the number of U.S. banks 13% and credit unions 15% between 2019 and 2024 also shrinks Jack Henry's addressable client base independent of how well it competes on product.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.0%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.1
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn19.8%
ROE24.0%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.56
Dividend1.51%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.98neutral
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfinancial services industry (banks & credit unions)
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive most of our revenue from products and services we provide to the financial services industry.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierthird-party hosting vendors (concentrated)
    10-K Item 1A: 'This reliance is further concentrated as we use certain third-party vendors to provide large portions of our hosting needs.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David B. Foss, Board Chair since 2021 and CEO from 2016-2024, notified the board of his intent to retire as director effective July 15, 2026. Reason cited: retirement, not a disagreement with the company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On March 25, 2026, the company entered a new $1.0 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit agreement with U.S. Bank as administrative agent, terminating and refinancing its existing $600 million facility (about $80 million outstanding, no early-termination penalty).
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $148.65Resistance $174.36

Price Targets

$153
$172
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JKHY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $161.40, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $152.96. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JKHY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $172.38 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $152.96. Stop-loss: $152.96.

What are the risks of investing in JKHY?

Thin upside margin: 7.0%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth.

Is JKHY overvalued or undervalued?

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JKHY?

23 analysts cover JKHY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $192.

What does Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. do?Jack Henry & Associates is a financial technology company providing core data processing systems and...

Jack Henry & Associates is a financial technology company providing core data processing systems and complementary/payment products to approximately 7,400 community and regional banks, credit unions, and diverse corporate entities. The company operates three core banking platforms (SilverLake, CIF 20/20, Core Director) serving over 950 banks and one core credit union platform (Symitar) serving approximately 715 credit unions. Jack Henry has completed 35 strategic acquisitions since fiscal 1999, most recently Payrailz in fiscal 2023.

Related stocks: INOD (Innodata Inc.) · FIS (Fidelity National Information S) · CACI (CACI International, Inc.) · MGRT (Mega Fortune Company Limited) · FORTY (Formula Systems (1985) Ltd.)
Home Stocks JKHY

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat47d ago
MarketWatch53d ago
AD HOC NEWS53d ago
Yahoo Finance54d ago
StockStory26d ago
Seeking Alpha26d agoEarnings
MarketBeat26d ago
Seeking Alpha26d ago
MarketBeat61d ago
MarketBeat61d ago
MarketBeat61d ago
TradingKey33d agoEarnings
MarketBeat33d ago
Marketscreener.com68d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus74d ago
MarketWatch74d ago
Zacks Investment Research75d agoAnalyst
MarketWatch47d ago
GuruFocus138d ago
PR Newswire139d ago
Loading more...