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IMAXImax CorporationHold5.6·$38.62+3.04%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion and strong analyst sentiment stand out in an otherwise challenged picture: two consecutive and sizable earnings misses, revenue contracting at roughly 6%, an 18% short float, and the stock trading just 30 basis points below its near-term resistance target leave almost no reward for the risk of a new position at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cashflow ConversionStable
  • Consecutive Large Earnings MissesStable
  • Revenue Contracting Six PercentStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Imax Corporation (IMAX) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Elevated risk factors.

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

$38.62+7.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 35 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.95%
Stop $35.80Target $41.44(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$47.64+23.3%11 analysts
$41.44our TP
$38.62price
$47.64mean
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.6%
Elevated risk factors
Insider selling

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.7
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth-6.1%
Beta0.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.73bearish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$33-14.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
2.2
Quality Rank
7.1
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.62%=HEAVYMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.90Resistance $45.52

Price Targets

$36
$41
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 0.62%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMAX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $41.44 (+7.3%), stop $35.80 (−7.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.44 (+7.6% upside). Target $41.44 (+7.3%), stop $35.80 (−7.9%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $35.80.

What are the risks of investing in IMAX?

Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Elevated risk factors; Insider selling.

Is IMAX overvalued or undervalued?

Imax Corporation trades at a P/E of 55.7 (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IMAX?

18 analysts cover IMAX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Imax Corporation do?IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an...

IMAX Corporation (the "Company" or "IMAX") is a Canadian corporation that was formed in March 1994 as a result of an amalgamation between WGIM Acquisition Corp. and the former IMAX Corporation ("Predecessor IMAX"). Predecessor IMAX was incorporated in 1967.

Related stocks: ANGX (Angel Studios, Inc.) · NWSA (News Corporation) · CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · NWS (News Corporation)
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