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IGICInternational General InsuranceSell5.5·$25.39-0.84%
IGIC · Why this verdict

Why International General Insurance (IGIC) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.1/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.2
P/S8.9
EV/EBITDA7.6
Fwd P/E9.6
PEG9.2
  • Forward P/E: 8.1x
  • PEG: 0.63
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE6.2
ROA2.4
Gross margin5.0
Op margin7.8
Net margin10.0
Current ratio2.6
Moat4.9
Piotroski F5.6
  • Strong margins: 24%
  • No competitive moat

Growth

3.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth1.9
EPS growth4.6
  • Declining revenue: -3%

Momentum

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD7.3
OBV10.0
MA position9.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target7.5
erm sentiment3.7

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.1
quality rank6.3
growth rank4.2

Technical

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.2
support resistance3.2
52w position8.6

Risk (lower is worse)

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.4
days to cover7.3
volatility6.5
put call0.0
implied vol4.8
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
  • Elevated put/call: 5.00
  • Above max pain $15

Catalyst

2.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm3.5
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.1
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
  • Dividend: 117.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-2
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
0.08
Upside
+0.4%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupBREAKOUT Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 52, MACD bullish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.1B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5. Top dim: Value at 9.1; weakest: Catalyst at 2.8. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.1, Momentum at 6.4, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.9; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.8, Growth at 3.2, and Technical at 4.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.08 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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