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HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.9·$12.60+0.08%
HOPE · Why this verdict

Why Hope Bancorp (HOPE) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.4/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E5.6
P/S8.0
Fwd P/E9.6
PEG10.0
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 7.9x
  • PEG: 0.22
  • Attractively valued

Quality

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE1.1
ROA0.3
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin7.3
Moat5.4
Piotroski F8.9
  • No competitive moat
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

8.1/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth7.1
EPS growth9.1

Momentum

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.0
MACD6.6
OBV10.0
MA position9.0
Volume1.9
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target7.0
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $150,360 (0.009% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.4
quality rank0.4
growth rank6.7

Technical

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger1.9
support resistance1.3
52w position9.6

Risk (lower is worse)

7.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.6
days to cover5.8
volatility7.2
put call10.0
implied vol4.5
beta8.0

Catalyst

3.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg2.0
dividend safety3.5
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:43d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.4=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-0.42
Upside
-3.0%
Downside
7.1%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupBREAKOUT Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.6B<$5B

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.1; weakest: Catalyst at 3.8. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.1, Value at 7.4, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.2; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.8, Peer rank at 3.9, and Technical at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.42 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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