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HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.7·$13.88
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank trades at a forward earnings multiple of approximately 8 times and a PEG ratio of 0.23, and has posted back-to-back beats in its two most recent quarters after two prior misses — but with the stock having reached its resistance-based target at current prices and zero remaining upside in the near-term geometry, the setup offers no margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • Momentum Breakout Golden Cross↑Improving
  • Earnings Improvement After Prior Misses↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South... Read more

$13.88-5.1% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#18 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.04%(5y avg 4.63%)Payout54.37%sustainable
Stop $13.32Analyst target $13.17(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$15.50+11.7%4 analysts
$13.88price
$15.50mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.9%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth71.0%
Beta0.85
Dividend4.04%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 58% of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by various types of commercial real estate (excluding 1-4 family residential mortgage loans).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our operations are concentrated in Southern California, which is an earthquake and fire prone region.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.00Resistance $14.28

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOPE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $13.17 reached (−5.1%), stop $13.32 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HOPE stock price target?

Analyst target $13.17 reached (−5.1% from $13.88); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $13.17 reached (−5.1%), stop $13.32 (−4.2%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $13.32.

What are the risks of investing in HOPE?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Is HOPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hope Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HOPE?

11 analysts cover HOPE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Hope Bancorp, Inc. do?Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating...

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South Korea. Commercial real estate loans made up approximately 58% of the bank's loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and operations remain significantly concentrated in earthquake- and fire-prone Southern California. On April 2, 2025, Hope completed its merger with Territorial Bancorp, adding a Hawaii thrift franchise now operating

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