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HLNHaleon plcHold5.6·$8.96-1.70%
HLN · Why this verdict

Why Haleon (HLN) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E7.0
P/S7.8
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E8.0
PEG4.1
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 14.9x
  • PEG: 2.39

Quality

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.4
ROA3.1
Gross margin9.0
Op margin9.3
Net margin7.6
Current ratio3.7
FCF quality6.2
Moat6.0
Piotroski F8.9
  • Strong margins: 15%
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

6.3/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.7
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD6.1
OBV10.0
MA position1.5
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Sentiment

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment6.3
Analyst rating6.5
Price target8.7
  • Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 31%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.8
quality rank5.9
growth rank2.6

Technical

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.4
support resistance5.8
52w position6.0
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.8
days to cover9.3
volatility8.1
implied vol1.2
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity7.9
  • High IV: 73%
  • Above max pain $2

Catalyst

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.4
dividend safety6.0
news activity6.0
  • Dividend: 212.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.8>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.80
Upside
+14.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:2.8>=1.5. Top dim: Sentiment at 7.1; weakest: Peer rank at 3.3. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.0, and Quality at 6.4; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.3, Momentum at 4.4, and Catalyst at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.80 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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