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GROYGold Royalty Corp.Hold5.8·$2.58-2.57%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Gold Royalty Corp shows strong 129% revenue growth and a highly favorable modeled asymmetry as it recovers from a death cross, but persistent cash burn, a still-confirmed downtrend, and the absence of a clear trading edge support the engine's mixed-signal, hold-existing-position recommendation.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • Cash Burning FundamentalsStable
  • Death Cross Recovery SetupStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying... Read more

$2.58+100.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#30 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-15.62%
Stop $2.46Target $5.22(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 9.8:1
Analyst target$6.00+132.6%7 analysts
$5.22our TP
$2.58price
$6.00mean
$8

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 101%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)22.5
Mkt Cap$644M
EV/EBITDA86.8
Profit Mgn-5.7%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth128.7%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV225%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.7
Macd
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 9.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.54Resistance $3.14

Price Targets

$2
$5
A.Upside+102.3%
A.R:R9.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GROY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $5.22 (+102.3%), stop $2.46 (−4.9%), A.R:R 9.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GROY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.22 (+100.8% upside). Target $5.22 (+102.3%), stop $2.46 (−4.9%), A.R:R 9.8:1. Stop-loss: $2.46.

What are the risks of investing in GROY?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GROY overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GROY?

13 analysts cover GROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Gold Royalty Corp. do?Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining...

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying stages of the mine life cycle to build a portfolio offering near, medium, and longer-term returns for its investors. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · BTG (B2Gold Corp)
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