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GROYGold Royalty Corp.Sell5.9·$2.90
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Gold Royalty Corp shows strong 129% revenue growth and a highly favorable modeled asymmetry as it recovers from a death cross, but persistent cash burn, a still-confirmed downtrend, and the absence of a clear trading edge support the engine's mixed-signal, hold-existing-position recommendation.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Growth Profile→Stable
  • Cash Burning Fundamentals→Stable
  • Death Cross Recovery Setup→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying... Read more

$2.90+50.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#30 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-15.46%
Stop $2.70Analyst target $4.38(−13% haircut)A.R:R 6.2:1
Analyst consensus$5.03+73.5%8 analysts
$4.38Analyst target
$2.90price
$5.03mean
$7

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Gold Royalty Corp.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 51%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)30.5
Mkt Cap$672M
EV/EBITDA62.4
Profit Mgn6.7%
ROE0.2%
Rev Growth76.1%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
3.9
Analyst Target
9.0
Forward P/E: 30.5x
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 6.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.73Resistance $3.13

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+50.9%
A.R:R6.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GROY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $2.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $2.70. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GROY stock price target?

Analyst target: $4.38 (+50.9% upside). Prior stop was $2.70. Stop-loss: $2.70.

What are the risks of investing in GROY?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is GROY overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 30.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GROY?

13 analysts cover GROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Gold Royalty Corp. do?Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining...

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying stages of the mine life cycle to build a portfolio offering near, medium, and longer-term returns for its investors. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.)
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