Value
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.6 |
| P/S | 9.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.0 |
| PEG | 8.4 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 29.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.76
GRDN · Why this verdict
Why Guardian Pharmacy Services (GRDN) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.0 |
| ROA | 9.6 |
| Gross margin | 0.2 |
| Op margin | 2.5 |
| Net margin | 1.8 |
| Current ratio | 5.4 |
| FCF quality | 9.2 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 27%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 126% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
6.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.0 |
| EPS growth | 9.8 |
Momentum
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.2 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 4.0 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 76)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.6 |
| Price target | 6.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $419,256,942 (16.357% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
2.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.4 |
| quality rank | 5.8 |
| growth rank | 1.5 |
Technical
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.1 |
| support resistance | 1.7 |
| 52w position | 9.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.3 |
| days to cover | 3.1 |
| volatility | 2.6 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 3.0 |
| debt equity | 9.3 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.67
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.6>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:64d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.5=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.48
Upside
-7.2%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.6B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.6>=5.5. Top dim: Catalyst at 7.5; weakest: Peer rank at 2.2. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Catalyst at 7.5, Growth at 6.4, and Sentiment at 6.4; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.2, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.0, and Technical at 4.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.48 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.