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FSKFS KKR Capital Corp.Sell5.1·$11.06+2.22%
FSK · Why this verdict

Why FS KKR Capital (FSK) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.3/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/S8.8
Fwd P/E9.7
PEG10.0
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 7.1x
  • PEG: 0.04
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA3.2
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio6.6
FCF quality6.4
Moat4.0
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F6.7
  • FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 12%, FCF yield 5.5%)
  • No competitive moat
  • Rule of 40: -12 (fail)

Growth

5.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth0.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Declining revenue: -24%

Momentum

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD6.8
OBV10.0
MA position6.0
Volume1.5
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target5.6
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.1/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.2
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

2.4/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.6
quality rank0.3
growth rank0.5

Technical

1.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger0.7
support resistance1.4
52w position1.2

Risk (lower is worse)

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.3
days to cover6.7
volatility6.9
put call8.9
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta7.6
debt equity4.2
  • High IV: 209%
  • Above max pain $10

Catalyst

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.1
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
  • Dividend: 2080.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.8>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-1.9=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.8>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-1.88
Upside
-9.5%
Downside
5.1%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $3.1B<$5B

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.6 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-1.9=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.88 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Momentum at 5.8, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.6; the weakest are Technical at 1.1, Peer rank at 2.4, and Catalyst at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.88 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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