Value
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/S | 0.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 22.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.18
FNV · Why this verdict
Why Franco-Nevada (FNV) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.3 |
| ROA | 8.7 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.8 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 7.4 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 66%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -60% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 78% YoY
Momentum
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 6.6 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 5.7 |
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.9 |
| Price target | 9.0 |
| erm sentiment | 6.5 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 36%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.2 |
| quality rank | 7.0 |
| growth rank | 4.8 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.5 |
| support resistance | 9.6 |
| 52w position | 5.3 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 7.3 |
| volatility | 3.1 |
| put call | 6.3 |
| implied vol | 4.7 |
| beta | 7.7 |
Catalyst
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 7.5 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.9 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 80.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+1|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:5.8>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.4>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:65d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.43
Upside
+18.2%
Downside
7.5%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.8>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Peer rank at 4.2. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Technical at 7.6, and Quality at 7.5; the weakest are Peer rank at 4.2, Insider at 5.0, and Value at 5.2. The V9 engine cleared all gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.43 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.